美國作為世界強國，其經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展影響著整個世界。近日，美國商務(wù)部日前宣布，美國第一季度年化國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值下降1.6%，而第二季度下降0.9%。從非官方角度來看，這預(yù)示著美國陷入經(jīng)濟衰退。跟著滬江英語一起來看一下什么情況吧。
The US economy shrank again in the last three months, unofficially signaling the start of a recession.
過去三個月美國經(jīng)濟再次縮水，從非官方的角度來看，這預(yù)示著美國經(jīng)濟開始衰退。
The commerce department announced Thursday that gross domestic product (GDP) – a broad measure of the price of goods and services – decreased at an annualized rate of 0.9% in the second quarter after falling at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first three months.
繼第一季度國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)下降1.6%之后，美國商務(wù)部7月28日宣布，第二季度GDP下降了0.9%。國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值是對商品和服務(wù)價值的廣義衡量指標。
The bad news will be a major blow for the Biden administration as it prepares for a tough midterm election season. White House officials have tried to tamp down talk of a recession, arguing that many parts of the economy remain strong.
這一噩耗對于正準備應(yīng)對局勢嚴峻的中期選舉的拜登政府是一個沉重打擊。白宮官員試圖平息有關(guān)經(jīng)濟衰退的傳言，堅稱經(jīng)濟的多個方面仍保持強勁態(tài)勢。
The growth rate stands in marked contrast to the robust 6.9% annual increase in GDP recorded in the final quarter of 2021 when the economy roared back from Covid shutdowns.
二季度數(shù)據(jù)與2021年第四季度6.9%的GDP增長率形成了鮮明對比，當時美國經(jīng)濟正從新冠疫情中復(fù)蘇。
The fast pace of growth contributed to soaring inflation – now running at 40-year highs – and the Federal Reserve’s decision to sharply increase interest rates in order to bring down prices.
美國經(jīng)濟快速增長致使出現(xiàn)40年以來最嚴重的通脹，美聯(lián)儲決定大幅上調(diào)利率以打壓物價。
The changing economic environment was reflected in the GDP report. Consumer spending – the largest driver of the economy – slowed over the quarter but remained positive, rising 1% on an annual basis. Residential fixed investment, or home construction, dropped 14% on an annual basis and slowing business inventories, goods produced but not yet sold by businesses, dragged down the GDP number.
二季度的GDP數(shù)據(jù)反映出美國當前持續(xù)變化的經(jīng)濟環(huán)境。作為經(jīng)濟最大驅(qū)動力的消費者支出在二季度減緩，但仍保持積極態(tài)勢，年化增長率達到1%。居民固定資產(chǎn)投資(即商品房建設(shè))卻下跌了14%，而企業(yè)庫存則在拖累GDP增長率。
Two quarters of negative GDP growth are widely regarded as a signal that the economy has gone into recession. But the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is the official arbiter of when recessions begin and end. While the GDP figures will play into the NBER’s final verdict, it also looks at a wider range of economic factors, including the jobs market, and is unlikely to give its decision soon.
GDP連續(xù)兩個季度負增長被普遍視為經(jīng)濟陷入衰退的一個信號。然而，美國經(jīng)濟衰退與否，最終還需要美國國家經(jīng)濟研究局(NBER)裁定宣布。NBER的最終裁決會考慮GDP數(shù)據(jù)，也會考慮就業(yè)市場等更廣泛的經(jīng)濟指標，因此不會很快做出裁決。
"The 0.9% annualized fall in GDP in the second quarter is disappointing but doesn’t mean the economy is in recession,” said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics. “That said, the details show that higher rates and surging inflation are weighing on underlying demand, and we expect only a muted rebound in economic growth over the second half of the year.”
凱投宏觀資深美國經(jīng)濟學(xué)家安德魯·亨特表示：“美國GDP第二季度下降0.9%，這個數(shù)據(jù)令人失望，但并不意味著美國經(jīng)濟陷入衰退。即便如此，有細節(jié)表明，利率上調(diào)和通脹飆升對潛在需求產(chǎn)生了壓力，美國經(jīng)濟在下半年僅可能出現(xiàn)溫和反彈。”
In the meantime, pressure remains on the Biden administration. Surveys of consumer confidence are falling as recession fears grow and Joe Biden’s overall and economic approval poll numbers are at the lowest levels of his presidency.
與此同時，拜登政府仍面臨壓力。調(diào)查發(fā)現(xiàn)，隨著對衰退的擔(dān)憂加劇，消費者信心受損，拜登的總體支持率及其經(jīng)濟政策的支持率已跌至任內(nèi)最低水平。
In a statement, Biden said it was “no surprise that the economy is slowing down as the Federal Reserve acts to bring down inflation. But even as we face historic global challenges, we are on the right path and we will come through this transition stronger and more secure.”
拜登在一份聲明中表示，隨著美聯(lián)儲采取行動降低通脹，經(jīng)濟放緩不足為奇。他還辯稱，在面對歷史性全球挑戰(zhàn)的情況下，美國經(jīng)濟仍然處于良性軌道，過了這個過渡階段，未來經(jīng)濟會變得更加強大和穩(wěn)定。
Republicans countered that the report shows “Democrats’ reckless economic policies are destroying our economy”.
共和黨人反駁稱，GDP報告顯示，民主黨不計后果的經(jīng)濟政策正在摧毀美國經(jīng)濟。
The latest GDP figures came a day after the Fed announced another three-quarter of a percentage point increase in its benchmark interest rates as it fights to tame inflation.
最新GDP數(shù)據(jù)發(fā)布前一天，美聯(lián)儲為遏制通貨膨脹，宣布再上調(diào)基準利率75個百分點。
Prices rose at an annual rate of 9.1% in the year to June, driven up by soaring costs for fuel, food and shelter.
在能源、食品價格和居住成本持續(xù)攀升的情況下，截至6月，美國消費者價格指數(shù)(CPI)上漲9.1%。
While parts of the US economy remain strong – most notably the jobs market – the Covid pandemic continues to play havoc with global supplies and the war in Ukraine has pushed up energy prices.
雖然美國經(jīng)濟的部分領(lǐng)域仍然在強勁增長，尤其是就業(yè)市場，但新冠肺炎疫情持續(xù)破壞全球供應(yīng)鏈，俄烏軍事沖突致使能源價格飆升。
The confusing economic outlook has triggered sell-offs in stock markets around the world and led some economists to predict a recession is coming. Nearly 70% of leading academic economists polled by the Financial Times last month predicted the US economy will tip into a recession next year.
對經(jīng)濟前景的恐慌引發(fā)了全球股票拋售，一些經(jīng)濟學(xué)家預(yù)測衰退即將到來。6月，《金融時報》對近七成頂尖學(xué)術(shù)經(jīng)濟學(xué)家進行了民意調(diào)查，他們認為美國經(jīng)濟在2023年將陷入衰退。
Fed chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that he did not believe the US was now in a recession. But he said the Fed was prepared to keep raising rates in order to bring prices back down and that it was inevitable that such a move would slow the economy and affect the job market. “Price stability is what makes the whole economy work,” said Powell.
7月27日，美聯(lián)儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾表示，美國經(jīng)濟并未陷入衰退，美聯(lián)儲已準備繼續(xù)加息，以使物價回落，而這將不可避免地會減緩經(jīng)濟增長，影響就業(yè)市場。他還表示，價格穩(wěn)定是整個經(jīng)濟運行的動力。
雖然是美國經(jīng)濟衰退，但是其實與我們也是息息相關(guān)的。大家要多了解世界新聞，與此同時提升自己，這樣才能夠不被快速變化的世界所淘汰。
